Archive for October, 2008

Financial crisis will hit the telco industry

Wednesday, October 29th, 2008

At BuddeComm we have conducted a quick and dirty ‘financial crisis’ survey across the telecoms industry.

There is a clear divide between developed and emerging markets. There was serious concern amongst the latter group (Africa, some Asia, ME), but they had not yet encountered any serious decline in all instances these markets are still growing, be it at levels a few percentage points lower than before the crisis started. Our researchers have already reported on this in some detail. See: Global Analysis – The US Financial Crisis and the effects on Communications and Oceania – Analysis – Impact from the global financial crisis

The story in the developed market was rather different. Some operators (not all) in Europe and the USA are recording drops of between 20% and 30% in mobile phone usage, this has not yet occurred outside these markets, however the situation in Japan is somewhat unclear but indications are also pointing towards very serious drops. Across these markets there are a large number of enquiries re downgrading of broadband subscriptions, cancelling of pay TV services, rationalisations of telecoms accounts, etc. Luckily for the operators many contracts run for 12 and 24 months, but nevertheless the trend is clear. In the business market it looked like many companies who are reviewing their costs have put telecoms and IT on their review lists (IT perhaps even more so than telecoms).

How this will play out depends largely on the how the market develops over the next 3 to 6 months (when and where it hits bottom).

This is a snapshot only – there is no indication that the overall market is actually declining by 20% at the moment, but it gives an idea of how the crisis is affecting the industry.

Vendors are reporting delays and even some cancellations of infrastructure contracts. At a minimum all major contracts that require refinancing are reviewed and additional securities are required by the financial institutions involved in these investments. This seems to apply across the board – mobile, fixed, IP, etc.

However, it appears that on the vendors side the mobile handset manufacturers are the most affected. They have experienced a decline somewhere in the vicinity of 20% in new handset purchases over September/October.

They believe that this might stabilise over the next few months but, if the bad news continues, in some sectors drops of 50% are to be expected.

To date online advertising has seen a decline of only a few percentage points, but the mood is very grim as the industry braces itself for a sharp decline in coming months.

Some more positive reactions and observations include:

  • An increase in demand for VoIP; however, from a whole-of-industry perspective, that would produce a further overall decline in call revenues.
  • New government contracts/funding might kick in; this might cushion the blow, but it may take some time to happen.
  • A chance to finally get better (wholesale) business models from incumbent mobile and fixed telcos.
  • At BuddeComm we are noticing an increase in activities in e-health and smart grids.
  • Opportunities for the more savvy operators in the market.
  • There are also some interesting merger and acquisitions in the pipeline.

Sadly, very few of the people we spoke to believed that the crisis will last less than three to five years.

Paul Budde

See also:

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It’s not the NBN – it’s the process that is flawed

Tuesday, October 28th, 2008

It’s not the NBN - it’s the process that is flawed

In these difficult times it is important to keep a cool head and not fall for the media hype that is telling us that the NBN is flawed, that we don’t need broadband, and that we all got it all completely wrong.

There is nothing wrong with the NBN and there is nothing wrong with high-speed infrastructure and with using it for nation-building projects. But, as we have said from the start, unfortunately the process is flawed.

It is very understandable that some of the players involved in the tendering procedure are pulling out. The tendering process is basically there to legitimately enable the government to change Telstra’s behaviour. Our politicians were not game enough to take the company on, and failed to do what other governments do – put the regulatory framework in place first and then ask the industry to bid within that context.

Without these parameters the tendering process has been, and continues to be, a farce.

It is becoming increasingly clear that the government now must do what it should have done when it first came into office – set the national policy and the strategy. That’s what governments are for. And only then should it be passed on to the industry to sort out how to do it.

In general government involvement will increase over coming years. In the wake of the financial crisis it has become abundantly clear that there is a role for government to play, especially in cases of national interest.

As in the financial industry, governments failed to take decisive regulatory action in the telecoms arena also.  It is therefore very likely that it will soon come in with strong NBN legislation. We expect this to be no later than March next year.

Telstra will have very little, if any, say in this. It has squandered its position at the table. It has manoeuvred itself outside this decision-making process and will need to eat humble pie before it can re-enter the arena.

BuddeComm expects that at that point it will have to deal with a much stronger ACCC.

 

Paul Budde

 

See also:

Australia – National Broadband Plan – Analysis late 2008

Australia – National Broadband Plan Analysis RFP

Australia – National Broadband Plans from Telstra, Terria & others

Australia – National Broadband Plan

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Telstra is endangering its shareholders

Tuesday, October 28th, 2008

Telstra is endangering its shareholders

The ACTU has recently issued a paper Shareholders risks associated with the NBN.

In this report they argue that Telstra’s approach to the NBN represents serious risks to its shareholders.

It says the incumbent’s attitude and the inflammatory statements often made by its management give the government the incentive to seriously consider any alternative bid. And, even if Telstra does win the bid, its uncompromising stand will see tougher rather weaker regulations attached to the awarding of the $4.7 billion contract.

Even if the NBN were to be were to be scrapped entirely Telstra will most likely be faced with stronger regulations generally than would have been imposed if it had taken a more conciliatory position and worked with the government and the industry.

The report makes no arguments as to right or wrong, but it does state that there is a widespread perception that Telstra is anti-competitive, that the current regulatory regime doesn’t work, and that there is no genuine equivalence. The fact that Telstra is so combative and litigious on these points only serves to reinforce that perception.

To date none of Telstra’s negative behaviour has delivered any benefits to the company.

It is arrogant in the extreme to habitually deny the concerns of others, be it the government, the consumers, the regulator or the industry. The report squarely places the blame for this on Telstra’s senior management.

The NBN has high government priority and it is unlikely that they will be fazed by a short-term-fixated executive/board that might not even be there by the time the NBN is deployed, the report says.

The report also mentioned the various reports and comments from financial analysts highlighting their concerns about the position Telstra has taken, and they also indicate that tough regulations could be very harmful to Telstra. The report stated that Telstra is putting no effort into reducing these regulatory risks, other than to issue threats to the government and the regulator. The incumbent has made no constructive attempts to find ways that would reduce these regulatory risks.

The report also highlights that there are limited alternatives to a fibre-based NBN. The HFC and wireless networks have a role to play but these are not long-term alternatives to an IP-based national broadband network. Telstra claims that it can use them as alternative options but the report indicated that this was not the case.

The report also states that it is not too late for Telstra to reclaim leadership and start working with the government, the regulator and the industry to look for a national solution. The financial crisis will only strengthen the government’s resolve to ensure that the NBN is rolled out, as it sees this as one of the cornerstones of its nation-building policy, which is earmarked as one of its most important strategies to guide Australia through the economic turmoil.

In the end this negative environment is of Telstra’s own making and it is most likely that the shareholders will suffer because of it. This should never have happened. As the industry leader Telstra should never have allowed itself to get into such a difficult position.

 

For the ACTU report see: www.unionfiles.com/telstra/NBN_RiskPaper_Final_Version.pdf

 

See also:

Australia – National Broadband Plan – Analysis late 2008

Australia – National Broadband Plan Analysis RFP

Australia – National Broadband Plans from Telstra, Terria & others

Australia – National Broadband Plan

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Fixed Mobile Convergence equipment market

Tuesday, October 28th, 2008

Fixed Mobile Convergence equipment market

Market research firm Infonetics Research reports in FMC Equipment, Phones, and Subscribers that sales of dual mode cellular/WiFi phones, including dual service and UMA and IMS seamless FMC client phones, hit $7.6 billion in 2Q08 and are expected to be up 16% for the year, indicating healthy growth for converged cellular/WiFi services in both enterprise and consumer market segments.

Meanwhile, the nascent FMC network element market, which launched last year and includes UMA network controllers (UNCs), voice call continuity (VCC) application servers, and multi-access convergence gateways, grew 5-fold from 2006 to 2007 and is forecast to grow another 7-fold between 2007 and 2011 worldwide.

According to their research UMA continues to dominate the worldwide seamless FMC market, and remains a 2-horse race, with unabated deployments at T-Mobile USA and Orange in Europe, which, as anticipated, is launching 3G UMA. In addition, Rogers Wireless has now joined the UMA bandwagon in North America. They expect all the phone and equipment segments in the niche FMC market to grow rapidly, with the economic downturn actually making T-Mobile USA’s offering more attractive to stretched consumers.

 

Other highlights from the report:

  • Nokia is the worldwide dual mode cellular/WiFi phone market share leader by far in 2Q08, followed by Samsung, which has been consistently ramping up sales
  • Ericsson leads the worldwide UMA network controller market, followed by Motorola and Alcatel-Lucent
  • The number of worldwide seamless FMC subscribers is rising rapidly, jumping from 1.7 million in 2007 to 9.7 million in 2008
  • The number of FMC phone units is expected to nearly quintuple in the 5 years from 2007 to 2011
  • Brasil Telecom’s VCC initiative, the first large scale VCC deployment for residential services, is adding steam to the VCC application server market
  • The multi-access convergence gateway market is building some momentum, with strong activity in India and growing interest in other parts of the world

 

For more info see: www.infonetics.com

 

See also:

Global – Mobile – FMC & FMS

Technology – Mobile 8 – Fixed-Mobile Convergence, UMA, GAN & Femtocells

 

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Open Networks

Monday, October 27th, 2008

Unlocking economic growth potential

The main reason for the present debate around the concept of open telecommunications networks is that the current ‘closed’ networks are perceived to be the natural state of affairs. It is time we broke away from this mindset, which stems mainly from the technological limitations that existed in the past.

Open networks are the next step in the evolution of telecoms infrastructure as it gives users full control of the services and applications that can be made available over high-speed broadband infrastructure. Open networks also means a democratisation of the telecoms infrastructure. Most of the current limitations (bundled products and services, portals, high access charges) are artificial because of the vertically-integrated nature of the closed network operators; they prefer to control absolutely everything related to their networks – even end-user devices were, until recently, under their total control. Open networks will give the control back to the users.

Compare telecoms to electricity infrastructure, the utilities don’t have any say about what devices users connect to, or what services they use. Why couldn’t this also be the natural order of telecommunications infrastructure?

As we have said many times, open networks don’t mean that anarchy will reign, or that the valuable national infrastructure will be raided by rogue operators. This is what some of the incumbents would like us to believe. Electricity is not free – nor are hospitals, schools, roads, airports, etc – still we have figured out the financial structures necessary for those types of infrastructure, some private, some public and many hybrid in nature.

Again, despite what incumbent let us believe all forms of national infrastructure involves regulation and governance. If there was still doubt about this, the financial crisis is teaching us all a lesson here.

Why open networks?

Open networks in telecoms are more of a concept than a well-defined set of technologies or regulations.

The aim should be to provide a universal communications service, the parameters for which will need to be set according to what is to be delivered over the infrastructure.

For example, as a national asset it should be used to enable basic video monitoring services for medical purposes – services that should be made available to everyone, independent of Internet or telephone access (e.g. totally unbundled). Obviously the quality and the nature of such services would need to be debated, policy makers can certainly set the broad parameters for such services but politicians should never pick technologies. The conditions should be technology-neutral and it should be left to the infrastructure providers to ensure that whatever they build is able to deliver the basic e-health services as described by the policy makers. Similar policy parameters can be set for tele-education, smart grids, basic video entertainment, etc.

The topology and the architecture of the open network should be such that infrastructure, service and content providers all can also offer higher quality and different ‘premium’ products and services. Similar structures exist elsewhere – public health and private health, public education and private education, public and private transport, public roads and tollways, and so on. While this might stir up the net neutrality debate, it must be clear that the basic national high-speed broadband service should be defined at such levels as to provide sufficient quality to satisfy the people who are using it. This will also change over time – as with other public services, what was seen as a good service ten years ago will require a review every so often to make sure it still meets the expectations of the users.

Interconnected networks

Existing networks from telcos, utilities and others could be interconnected to form the core of an open network structure – this should be considered partly because this is a far more efficient way of looking at utilising these assets and partly because it leads to a healthy mixture of public and private assets forming part of the national infrastructure.

Once the basis for open networks is in place BuddeComm is convinced that commercial structures will be built without too much regulatory interference. While it may appear a daunting prospect at the beginning (particularly as the incumbent telcos will try to block any open network developments) things will start looking up once the reality of open networks is accepted, and opponents will recognise the new business opportunities that will arise from that point. Good examples here are now starting to emerge in Europe.

Less regulations required

After the initial regulations have been set up for the establishment of open networks, we should step back and identify the bottlenecks and where infrastructure is missing or upgrades are needed that will not take place without government funding.

With the vertical business structure gone infrastructure operators will become far more prepared to cooperate and investigate how to interconnect with other infrastructure, rather than to continue with the ‘overbuild-at-all-costs’ scenarios they indulge in under the vertically-integrated model. Vertical-integrated networks are approx 30% more expensive to develop and to run as open networks. Obviously this infrastructure will require good governance, both on a regulatory and a technical level. By removing the economically unviable competition elements from at least the basic national infrastructure we should be able to get really good cooperation between the infrastructure players’. This allows for their key engineers to take a more independent role and as such they should be able to govern the technology, security, reliability, provisioning, IPv6, investments, etc.

Open networks require significantly less public funding

Only infrastructure projects that are not economically feasible will need government funding, and it is amazing how little funding is actually needed once the vertical structures in the industry are dismantled.

Around the world there is an increasing consensus on the social and economic benefits of high-speed broadband infrastructure, and this allows governments to step in and fund the gaps. A cleverly designed national network can lead to a much better, faster and more efficient network than those built by individual telcos. (Please note the stress on ‘clever’. Networks are rarely well-designed when the goal is to protect an infrastructure monopoly.)

Will Open Networks lead to a telecoms Nirvana?

While true open networks would be the ideal outcome, it won’t solve all of our problems. But, then, do we have an ideal healthcare, education, public transport system, etc? This is the nature of national assets. But with a good interconnection between public and private, which the technology can now make possible, we can come up with a very good result. It won’t be easy, but we have so many good technologies, applications and ongoing innovations that we should be able to build incredibly good infrastructure – that is, if we all set our mind to it and move in the same direction, and with the incumbent monopolies that is not yet always the case.

How is it done in other infrastructure industries?

From a users’ point of view we can take a lead from the electricity infrastructure. What, in the end, matters is that users have total control over the end-user devices, and that their user experiences take place around these devices, and not the infrastructure or the basic electricity supply. Only when the supply falters will users worry about the infrastructure.

In the case of broadband the trouble is that the infrastructure is so poor in so many places that it is the only issue that is debated. Obviously a better environment is needed – one that places less end-user focus on the infrastructure itself, users should be able to concentrate their attention on the applications that can be used over it.

To return to the comparison above, there are very few end-user issues around supply in the electricity industry. From their experience perspective supply is unlimited (we are obviously not addressing issues such as climate change here – we have made separate analyses for those developments).

The same applies to costs. In general everyone can afford electricity, and there are systems in place for people who can’t.

If smart grids were to be added into the mix, distributed energy would become part of the electricity infrastructure; end-user solar panels, electrical cars and wind turbines will be interconnected into the one national/state infrastructure system.

In telecoms we are already seeing that some people want to have there own (dark fibre) connection and they may be prepared to install this themselves. Examples include projects such as Fibre-to-the Farm in the Netherlands, DIY fibre in Stavanger Norway and muni-networks should be looked at from that perspective. Mesh networks in wireless broadband are even going a step further and make end-users active infrastructure providers.

So there is no need to reinvent the wheel – there are plenty of issues that are unique to telecoms but we can also learn from other infrastructure how best to create open networks in telecoms.

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Australian Broadband Market Statistics

Monday, October 27th, 2008

The Budde 2008 Australia – Internet, Broadband and Convergence Statistics (tables only) report provides 184 statistical tables relating to the overall Internet, broadband and convergence markets in Australia, including company operating and financial statistics. It does not include commentary or analysis, these being found in other BuddeComm reports.

Broadband market

Broadband subscriber growth in recent years has been driven by further strong uptake of ADSL subscribers, although recent growth has not been as strong as the previous two years as the majority of the market has now almost completed its transition from dial-up to broadband. Within the next two to three years, most Internet households will be based on broadband. However, it will not be until other broadband devices are available, over the next five years, that broadband will spiral beyond the Internet households.

Telstra clearly outperformed the rest of the market in terms of broadband access revenue growth in 2008, whereas Optus saw a significant decline in broadband access revenues growth, mainly due to a loss of off-net resale ADSL subscribers.

Because the rest of the world is progressing much more quickly (Australia is still running approximately 2 years behind its counterparts), Australia is losing out on competitive advantage. Furthermore, the Australian people are missing out on important lifestyle improvements. The key factor for this failure however, is moving from technology to affordability. While the technology has become available (ADSL2+), the price is too high for most current broadband users.

VoIP

Although still in its infancy, VoIP will play a key role in broadband where it will also be linked with video communication. Its value could lie in developing further innovations linked to the social, value-added experience of voice calls.

Wireless broadband

It appears that WiMAX has now well and truly lost the battle to the 3G operators, with the mobile wireless broadband market presently booming. This will leave any future WiMAX operators to develop in niche markets only. By 2018, only 10% of mobile revenues will come from mobile voice and, furthermore, that will be based on VoIP.

The Digital Economy

The Internet media companies have led the field in shaping developments in this market over the past five years. Despite being challenged by the telcos, they have maintained the upper hand. In future the battle will be between the traditional media and new media companies. Although these are very much international players, there are growing partnerships with local partners. In Australia, the emphasis of discussion between these partners is slowly shifting from access to applications. Existing players such as telcos, banks, media, and retail will need to adapt to the new environment, while new players can start afresh in using the new opportunities.

E-government

The Australian Government is well aware of the importance of e-government and has shown leadership in developing online services. The benefits of e-government applications can include cutting costs and improving processes and information flow, but one of its primary aims is to improve customer service for citizens.

Education and Healthcare

The Internet and associated Web 2.0 technologies have greatly increased the potential for, and quality of, remote education and the ‘virtual classroom’. Tele-education is becoming increasingly important in training health professionals in remote areas. In an effort to lower costs and provide training and education to a wider audience, corporations and universities are adopting e-learning solutions.

E-health is fast shaping up as one of the key killer apps on truly high-speed broadband networks. With new technologies greatly increasing the cost of healthcare, e-health is shaping up as a way to enjoy these advances at a more affordable cost.

Broadcasting and pay TV

Although the dominance of FtA television as a mass communication medium has been unsurpassed for many decades, the industry is now facing challenges from a number of fronts as incumbent broadcasters cling to their lucrative oligopolies. Digital FtA TV has been delayed due to its only offering better picture quality rather than expanded content, and this has been nowhere near sufficient to help drive digital TV. However, recent changes to media ownership and broadcasting regulations in Australia are likely to lead to further consolidation and cross-media ownership, and thus improved content.

For more info see the BuddeComm 2008 Australia – Internet, Broadband and Convergence Statistics (tables only)

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Telecoms growth in Asia set to continue

Monday, October 27th, 2008

We continued to see a generally strong run of economic growth throughout the Asian region in 2007 and into 2008. This was despite some anxiety resulting from the uncertainty surrounding oil prices and the impact of this on the global economy. On a positive note, the giant growth engine that is China continued to provide a sustained lift to the economies of its neighbours. However, it was recognised that if China’s economy started to show signs of stalling, the impact would certainly be felt right across Asia.

In the second half of 2008, Asia was bracing itself for the snowball effect of the global credit crisis that started in the US and spread to Europe. Although the future remained uncertain, looking back there was clear evidence that the region’s telecommunications sector had clearly been benefiting from a period of healthy economic growth.

Highlights in the telecoms sector coming into 2008 include:

  • Asia’s mobile markets continued to grow strongly; having passed the one billion subscriber milestone in late 2006, the market was expanding at an annual rate of almost 30% and had reached 1.5 billion by mid-2008.
  • 3G mobile services continued to be rolled out in the major markets, with the developed markets taking a strong lead.
  • The region’s choice of Internet access has been rapidly moving from dial-up to broadband, Asia also claiming the position of the world’s leading Internet region in terms of users.
  • Broadband access continues to become more sophisticated, with the developed markets moving to FttH.
  • The developed economies of Asia were also leading the way in the building of powerful NGNs in the region.

In looking at the Asian telecom market, it is impossible to avoid the impact of China and, to some extent, India. With its huge population and strongly developing economy, China is a real presence in the region. Having become the single biggest mobile market in the world, China continued to expand its mobile subscriber base at a rate of 20% per annum into 2008; as a consequence, it claimed 560 million mobile subscribers by March 2008. Over the same period, India’s mobile subscriber base was growing at an annual rate of almost 60% and had reached 245 million by March 2008. The two markets between them claimed more than 50% of the total regional mobile market.

In the meantime, while China and India had been attracting the publicity, a long-time global and regional telecoms giant in the shape of Japan had been keenly maintaining its reputation for innovation by regularly adding value to the telecom market. Its industry leadership has embraced the application of wireless Internet access, with over 87 million mobile subscribers using either NTT DoCoMo’s i-mode (48 million) or one of the other proprietary products by early 2008. And even more significantly Japan mobile operators had signed up 68 million 3G subscribers by March 2008. Its promotion of FttH as a broadband platform has been a crucial factor in its continuing leadership role.

Asia continues to claim the rank of world’s largest regional Internet market. With an estimated 580 million Internet users (a user penetration of 16%) by early 2008, Asia was extending its lead over Europe (385 million) and North America (250 million). It comes as no surprise that Internet applications in Asia are being led by the developed economies of the region – Japan, Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan. This group has been joined by China, with its user penetration of 16%, and a massive 210 million Internet users by the start of 2008, according to ITU estimates. Although the published statistics varied, one source had China with 253 million Internet subscribers by June 2008; this compared with 248 million in the US.

South Korea continues to dominate the area of broadband Internet access, leading the world and the region with 90% of its households having a broadband connection by early 2008. The two major technologies supporting broadband in Asia are DSL and cable modem, with DSL having the ascendancy. For the time being, DSL dominates by a factor of 2:1. The market is changing, however, with the rapid roll-out of FttH in a number of the more highly developed markets.

As the local economies across Asia gained traction and national regulators continue to restructure their markets, telcos have been facing increasingly competitive markets. Price cutting has been widespread, the offering of value-added services has been expanding and innovative product promotion and packaging remain popular. Working in such highly competitive markets, ARPU across the product range has experienced strong downward pressure, but some equilibrium was achieved over the 2007/08. In the meantime, with the introduction of 3G services and other VAS platforms, some operators have seized the opportunity to grow their ARPU again. Nevertheless, profit margins have been falling and operators need to be flexible to stay competitive in a quickly changing market. More significantly, the increased likelihood of a global recession will present even greater challenges.

For the last decade, investment strategies adopted by telcos in Asia have remained relatively cautious. While obviously still keen to find new markets, operators, often with the support of equipment suppliers, have been building fresh business plans to suit the changing market. The Asian Economic Crisis of the late 1990s followed by the dotcom crash had taught operators some powerful lessons on investment in the telecom sector. A case in point was the oversupply of submarine cable capacity that became apparent four or five years ago. This had a particularly severe impact on investment plans – and on the financial viability – of companies. As the submarine cable market started to rebound in 2007, it once again needed an injection of capital. With the availability of credit being much tighter, the players involved are expected to adopt a much more circumspect approach to funding these projects. At the same time, after a period of sluggish growth, the satellite segment has also seen a series of new launches and there are signs that this will continue, at least at a modest pace.

The region has a wide spectrum of telecommunications and IT development. Countries can be found at both ends of this development spectrum. Some of the world’s leading developers and implementers of technology are to be found in Asia, but many countries in the region remain in the early stages of their IT and telecommunications adoption. There is, nevertheless, a consistently strong awareness of the importance of telecommunications and information being demonstrated right across the region. The commercial significance of telecommunications is well recognised and, at the same time, the potential contribution to the social and cultural wellbeing of nations is also well appreciated. As a consequence, growth potential in the Asian market remains extremely high; the big new drivers are broadband and IP services, as well as ongoing growth in the mobile sector, particularly as more and more VAS come into play. NGNs are also being rolled out by the regional heavyweights.

For more info see the latest BuddeComm Report: 2008 Asia – Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband Market Overview

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Optus – statistics and forecasts

Monday, October 27th, 2008

Optus – statistics and forecasts

  • Telstra caught Optus on the back foot in the mobile market. Optus relies for most of its revenue on mobile and with its 3G HSDPA service Telstra has been able to undermine Optus’ position in that market.
  • Of particular concern for Optus was the drop in consumer off-net fixed voice products, which voice fell 34%. While the latter decline can be attributed to the cancellation of a reselling contract with Telstra, the overall consumer fixed voice revenue still showed a big decline.
  • Over the last eighteen months Optus has taken the lead in the industry. This has further confirmed its position in the market and will also assist it in shaping the future of the market and the industry moving into the next generation of telecoms.
  • There are good indications that Optus’ parent SingTel is prepared to invest further in Australia once the conditions are right.

 

For more info see: 2008 Australia – Telco Company Profiles – Telstra and Optus

For 2nd Tier Telcos like:- AAPT, Amcom, Austar, Commander, Foxtel, gotalk, Hutchison, iiNet, Macquarie Telecom, Nextgen Networks, People Telecom, Primus, Soul, TransACT, Unwired, and Vodafone; see: 2008 Australia – Telco Company Profiles – 2nd Tier

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Telstra – statistics and forecasts

Monday, October 27th, 2008

Telstra – statistics and forecasts

  • Overall revenue growth for Telstra was very solid at 4.3%, a rise on the 3.9% delivered in the previous financial year.
  • Broadband access revenue growth was 39%, and BuddeComm predicts further strong revenue growth of 32% in the 2009 financial year.
  • Telstra’s mobile revenue showed a very impressive 12.7% growth, fuelled by very strong mobile data growth from wireless broadband of 44% to $1.5 billion.
  • The changing nature of media is presenting a significant range of new challenges for Sensis, despite its strong recent growth. Social networking sites could offer a factor that Sensis’ options lacked – the ability to personally recommend specific businesses.
  • BuddeComm predicts overall revenue growth for Telstra of 3.8% for 2008/9 and 3.6% for 2009/10. These growth rates could however be about 10-20% below this if there is an unfavourable outcome for Telstra regarding the National Broadband Network tender to be finalised by the government.

 

For more info see: 2008 Australia – Telco Company Profiles – Telstra and Optus

For 2nd Tier Telcos like; AAPT, Amcom, Austar, Commander, Foxtel, gotalk, Hutchison, iiNet, Macquarie Telecom, Nextgen Networks, People Telecom, Primus, Soul, TransACT, Unwired, and Vodafone; See: 2008 Australia – Telco Company Profiles – 2nd Tier

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E-Learning and Open Source

Monday, October 27th, 2008

E-Learning and Open Source

Garner has observed a trend whereby higher education institutions are moving towards open source e-learning platforms such as Moodle or Sakai. This is based partially on the perception that Open Source is cheaper (although this yet needs to be rationalised) and does not require a licensing fee. Higher education institutions also appear to like the features and functions offered by  a product such as Moodle, according to a survey conducted by Gartner. Moodle and similar products may also offer third-party services contracted to offer services and support.

 

For further information see separate report:

Global – Digital Media – E-education.

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